The Central Meteorological Observatory continued to issue the gale blue warning at 06: 00 on December 13th. It is estimated that there will be 5 winds and gusts of 6-8 in parts of central and eastern Inner Mongolia, northwestern Shanxi, northern Hebei, central Henan and southwestern Shandong from 08: 00 on December 13th to 08: 00 on December 14th. Most of the Yellow Sea, most of the East China Sea, Taiwan Province Strait, east of Taiwan Province, bashi channel, northern and central South China Sea, and Beibu Gulf will have strong winds of 7-8 grades and gusts of 9 grades.Xie Feng, Ambassador of China to the United States: It is unwise to underestimate China, and it is not true to criticize China, and it will not succeed to contain China. According to the official of the Chinese Embassy in the United States, on December 11, 2024, u.s.-china business council held the 2024 annual celebration dinner in Washington. In his speech, Xie Feng said that China's economic operation is generally stable, progressing steadily, and it is confident to stabilize the market and prevent risks, with high-quality development and vitality, and there is potential for sustained recovery. In the first three quarters of this year, China's GDP increased by 4.8% year-on-year, which not only ranked among the major economies in terms of growth rate, but also increased the "gold content", "new content" and "green content" of economic development, ranking 11th in the global innovation index. As the package of incremental policies continued to show remarkable results, the growth rate of consumption, investment and export in October picked up, the real estate transaction volume rose one after another, the manufacturing purchasing managers' index returned to the boom zone, and the turnover of tens of thousands of brands in the "double 11" shopping festival doubled. Xie Feng emphasized that China's economy has always been growing under the challenges of wind and rain, and it is confident to achieve its economic growth target this year. Next year, it will implement more active macro policies to prevent and resolve risks in key areas and external shocks, and it will remain the biggest engine of world economic growth in the future. The sea can't be stirred, and it always rushes. It is unwise to underestimate China, it is not true to criticize China, and it is even more impossible to contain China.Hong Kong's IPO is expected to return to the top three in the world next year, and signs of recovery of Hong Kong's IPO are beginning to appear this year: Hong Kong's capital market has ushered in a strong wave of "listing in Hong Kong", from upstarts such as Horizon to giants such as Midea, SF Express, Hengrui, Haitian and Mao Geping, and many mainland enterprises have turned their attention to Hong Kong. Some institutions predict that Hong Kong is expected to return to the fourth place in global IPO financing this year and the top three in the world in 2025. "When I was in Hong Kong, I might have to see three or five companies a day. This is no exaggeration." Chen Yiting, chief executive of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, said in an interview recently that "many market participants and investment bankers are quite optimistic about Hong Kong's IPO market in 2025." (Securities Times)
Economic Daily: Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment and adjusting macro policies are related to the overall situation of national economic operation. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9th emphasized that a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented, the policy toolbox should be enriched and improved, the unconventional countercyclical adjustment should be strengthened, and the policy "combination boxing" should be well played to improve the foresight, pertinence and effectiveness of macro-control. The formulation of "extraordinary countercyclical adjustment" has aroused widespread concern in the market. The experts interviewed generally believe that the meeting of the Politburo is the general policy of economic work in the future. A series of statements at the meeting exceeded expectations, and larger fiscal and financial policies and industrial cultivation policies, and more extensive measures to promote people's livelihood and consumption are expected to be introduced, and various departments and localities will also let go of their hands and feet at the implementation level.New york Federal Reserve: Michelle Neal, the marketing department, resigned and will officially leave on March 25th, 2025. Neal will be a senior consultant until she leaves the bank, and she will return to work in the private sector. Anna Nordstrom will be the temporary marketing director until Neal leaves.Broadcom's share price rose more than 10% after the US market closed.
Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.At least 27 people were killed when the Israeli army bombed the central part of the Gaza Strip. According to a report by the Palestinian News Agency on the 12th, at least 27 people were killed, including women and children, and dozens of others were injured when the Israeli army bombed the Nuseilet refugee camp in the central part of the Gaza Strip that night.Many places support housing consumption in the form of issuing housing subsidies. Recently, many places have taken the form of issuing housing subsidies and optimizing housing provident fund policies to support housing consumption and release housing demand. For example, recently, the General Office of the Government of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region issued "Measures for Promoting the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market in Guangxi", which mentioned that "optimizing the housing provident fund policy" and "financial subsidies support the reasonable demand for housing purchase". Shanxi Datong, Hubei Xiangyang, Hubei Xianning and other places have also recently launched relevant measures to support residents' rigid and improved housing demand and boost the real estate market. Zhang Bo, dean of 58 Anjuke Research Institute, said in an interview that the role of promoting housing consumption in "stabilizing the property market" is expected to continue to increase, and more policies will be introduced in the future to help stabilize the property market. (Securities Daily)
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13